Pepperdine Waves 52, Gonzaga Bulldogs 75
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Gonzaga Bulldogs
Gonzaga Bulldogs defeated Pepperdine Waves 75–52 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:34 swung win probability 62% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pepperdine Waves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 52 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 14 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:34 swung win probability 62% → 93%.
Why Pepperdine Waves lost
- Lost Q3 13-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 5:34 (win probability 62% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 50.6% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 12–0 | Q1 5:34 | 62% → 93% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 9–0 | Q1 1:16 | 93% → 72% |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 12–0 | Q3 0:33 | 93% → 100% |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q4 3:01 | 100% → 100% |