Elon Phoenix 50, UNC Greensboro Spartans 54
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: UNC Greensboro Spartans
UNC Greensboro Spartans defeated Elon Phoenix 54–50 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:31 swung win probability 98% → 71%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Elon Phoenix lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Phoenix | 8 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 50 |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:31 swung win probability 98% → 71%.
Why Elon Phoenix lost
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 7:25 (win probability 77% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.9% eFG vs a 44.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-8.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 8–0 | Q2 4:56 | 72% → 94% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 13–0 | Q3 7:25 | 77% → 100% |
| Elon Phoenix | 9–0 | Q4 8:31 | 98% → 71% |