New Mexico State Aggies 59, Saint Mary's Gaels 70
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated New Mexico State Aggies 70–59 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:33 swung win probability 32% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 14 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 59 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 14 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:33 swung win probability 32% → 76%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Lost Q2 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 8:33 (win probability 32% → 76% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 27-19.
- Outscored 16-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 12–0 | Q2 8:33 | 32% → 76% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 8–0 | Q2 1:13 | 60% → 89% |