Auburn Tigers 68, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 52
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Auburn Tigers
Auburn Tigers defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 68–52 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 19-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:55 swung win probability 45% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers | 13 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 68 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 19-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:55 swung win probability 45% → 0%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost Q2 6-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at Q2 1:55 (win probability 45% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers | 10–0 | Q1 3:09 | 69% → 30% |
| Auburn Tigers | 19–0 | Q2 1:55 | 45% → 0% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 10–0 | Q4 0:08 | 0% → 0% |