South Florida Bulls 58, Tulane Green Wave 49
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls defeated Tulane Green Wave 58–49 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:20 swung win probability 88% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tulane Green Wave lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 13 | 9 | 19 | 17 | 58 |
| Tulane Green Wave | 12 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:20 swung win probability 88% → 19%.
Why Tulane Green Wave lost
- Lost Q4 7-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 0:07 (win probability 53% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 30.7% eFG vs a 44.1% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-9.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q1 6:12 | 69% → 39% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q3 5:06 | 78% → 34% |
| Tulane Green Wave | 8–0 | Q3 2:28 | 34% → 80% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q4 3:20 | 88% → 19% |
| South Florida Bulls | 9–0 | Q4 0:07 | 53% → 0% |