Tulane Green Wave 53, South Florida Bulls 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls defeated Tulane Green Wave 85–53 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:01 swung win probability 55% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tulane Green Wave lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane Green Wave | 8 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 53 |
| South Florida Bulls | 20 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:01 swung win probability 55% → 96%.
Why Tulane Green Wave lost
- Lost Q1 8-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q1 3:01 (win probability 55% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 35.2% eFG vs a 44.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 16–0 | Q1 3:01 | 55% → 96% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q2 3:59 | 95% → 100% |
| Tulane Green Wave | 8–0 | Q3 9:01 | 100% → 99% |
| South Florida Bulls | 10–0 | Q4 2:38 | 100% → 100% |