Memphis Tigers 65, East Carolina Pirates 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates defeated Memphis Tigers 74–65 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:27 swung win probability 38% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Memphis Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 65 |
| East Carolina Pirates | 16 | 14 | 20 | 24 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:27 swung win probability 38% → 100%.
Why Memphis Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 17-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 0:27 (win probability 38% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-14 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-5.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | 8–0 | Q3 3:13 | 58% → 13% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 10–0 | Q3 0:04 | 13% → 70% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 13–0 | Q4 0:27 | 38% → 100% |