Rice Owls 70, South Florida Bulls 68
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Rice Owls
Rice Owls defeated South Florida Bulls 70–68 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:09 swung win probability 6% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Florida Bulls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice Owls | 18 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 70 |
| South Florida Bulls | 16 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:09 swung win probability 6% → 80%.
Why South Florida Bulls lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 1:49 (win probability 68% → 16% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-5.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q2 6:23 | 35% → 68% |
| Rice Owls | 12–0 | Q2 1:49 | 68% → 16% |
| Rice Owls | 11–0 | Q3 2:32 | 52% → 4% |
| South Florida Bulls | 8–0 | Q4 8:52 | 4% → 27% |
| South Florida Bulls | 9–0 | Q4 2:09 | 6% → 80% |