North Texas Mean Green 81, Florida Atlantic Owls 56
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green defeated Florida Atlantic Owls 81–56 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 6:25 swung win probability 72% → 30%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Atlantic Owls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green | 15 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 81 |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 14 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 6:25 swung win probability 72% → 30%.
Why Florida Atlantic Owls lost
- Lost Q3 6-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 3:45 (win probability 24% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 31.4% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 8–0 | Q2 9:08 | 41% → 72% |
| North Texas Mean Green | 10–0 | Q2 6:25 | 72% → 30% |
| North Texas Mean Green | 15–0 | Q3 3:45 | 24% → 0% |
| North Texas Mean Green | 8–0 | Q4 3:28 | 0% → 0% |