UAB Blazers 87, East Carolina Pirates 88
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates defeated UAB Blazers 88–87 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 1:26 swung win probability 73% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UAB Blazers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAB Blazers | 24 | 19 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 87 |
| East Carolina Pirates | 16 | 17 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 1:26 swung win probability 73% → 0%.
Why UAB Blazers lost
- Lost Q3 11-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 3:16 (win probability 64% → 94% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 23-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB Blazers | 9–0 | Q2 7:50 | 50% → 18% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 9–0 | Q3 3:16 | 64% → 94% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 9–0 | Q4 8:17 | 86% → 100% |
| UAB Blazers | 8–0 | Q4 1:53 | 96% → 64% |
| UAB Blazers | 8–0 | OT 1:26 | 73% → 0% |