Lafayette Leopards 57, Colgate Raiders 63
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Colgate Raiders
Colgate Raiders defeated Lafayette Leopards 63–57 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:50 swung win probability 43% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 12 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 57 |
| Colgate Raiders | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:50 swung win probability 43% → 96%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q3 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 5:50 (win probability 43% → 96% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-5.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 9–0 | Q1 2:22 | 50% → 81% |
| Colgate Raiders | 14–0 | Q3 5:50 | 43% → 96% |