American University Eagles 70, Lafayette Leopards 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: American University Eagles
American University Eagles defeated Lafayette Leopards 70–60 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:25 swung win probability 36% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 17 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 70 |
| Lafayette Leopards | 13 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:25 swung win probability 36% → 0%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q4 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 0:25 (win probability 36% → 0% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 8–0 | Q1 4:00 | 69% → 38% |
| American University Eagles | 9–0 | Q4 0:25 | 36% → 0% |