American University Eagles 44, Colgate Raiders 41
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: American University Eagles
American University Eagles defeated Colgate Raiders 44–41 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:23 swung win probability 29% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 14 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 44 |
| Colgate Raiders | 6 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 41 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:23 swung win probability 29% → 85%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost Q1 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 32.5% eFG vs a 39.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 8–0 | Q4 6:23 | 29% → 85% |