Colgate Raiders 56, American University Eagles 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: American University Eagles
American University Eagles defeated Colgate Raiders 59–56 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:49 swung win probability 16% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 6 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 56 |
| American University Eagles | 9 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:49 swung win probability 16% → 100%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost Q2 14-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at OT 0:49 (win probability 16% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 11-1 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 12–0 | Q3 7:27 | 98% → 76% |
| American University Eagles | 8–0 | OT 0:49 | 16% → 100% |