Lafayette Leopards 42, Army Black Knights 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Army Black Knights
Army Black Knights defeated Lafayette Leopards 61–42 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:38 swung win probability 80% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 6 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 42 |
| Army Black Knights | 14 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:38 swung win probability 80% → 99%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q1 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 7:38 (win probability 80% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 34.6% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-7.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Army Black Knights | 10–0 | Q3 7:38 | 80% → 99% |
| Army Black Knights | 9–0 | Q4 1:39 | 100% → 100% |