Valparaiso Beacons 48, Western Michigan Broncos 58
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Western Michigan Broncos
Western Michigan Broncos defeated Valparaiso Beacons 58–48 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:18 swung win probability 72% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 14 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 48 |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 7 | 21 | 14 | 16 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:18 swung win probability 72% → 20%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q4 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 6:11 (win probability 63% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 14–0 | Q1 1:18 | 72% → 20% |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 9–0 | Q4 6:11 | 63% → 99% |