San Diego State Aztecs 74, Air Force Falcons 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 74–57 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:04 swung win probability 21% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 12 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 74 |
| Air Force Falcons | 14 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:04 swung win probability 21% → 1%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q2 9-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 3:04 (win probability 21% → 1% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q3 3:04 | 21% → 1% |