Air Force Falcons 52, Colorado State Rams 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Colorado State Rams
Colorado State Rams defeated Air Force Falcons 66–52 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:44 swung win probability 29% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 17 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 52 |
| Colorado State Rams | 12 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:44 swung win probability 29% → 64%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q2 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 2:44 (win probability 29% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 31.5% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 8–0 | Q2 2:44 | 29% → 64% |