Air Force Falcons 53, New Mexico Lobos 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Air Force Falcons 73–53 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 100% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 8 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 53 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 12 | 19 | 18 | 24 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 100% → 100%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q3 6-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 2:29 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.7% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 8–0 | Q4 4:19 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 11–0 | Q4 2:29 | 100% → 100% |