Air Force Falcons 59, Nevada Wolf Pack 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-11 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Air Force Falcons 76–59 on 2026-02-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:39 swung win probability 87% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 10 | 16 | 12 | 21 | 59 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 20 | 14 | 18 | 24 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:39 swung win probability 87% → 98%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q1 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 8:39 (win probability 87% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 36.4% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 8–0 | Q2 8:39 | 87% → 98% |