Grand Canyon Lopes 64, Air Force Falcons 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 65–64 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:48 swung win probability 36% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 15 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 64 |
| Air Force Falcons | 21 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:48 swung win probability 36% → 81%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q1 15-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 2:48 (win probability 36% → 81% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q1 7:01 | 66% → 36% |
| Air Force Falcons | 13–0 | Q1 2:48 | 36% → 81% |