Air Force Falcons 61, Fresno State Bulldogs 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 61–56 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:37 swung win probability 94% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 10 | 14 | 22 | 15 | 61 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 12 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:37 swung win probability 94% → 57%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q3 12-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 2:37 (win probability 94% → 57% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 43.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q1 0:53 | 39% → 76% |
| Air Force Falcons | 9–0 | Q3 2:37 | 94% → 57% |