Air Force Falcons 47, UNLV Lady Rebels 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Air Force Falcons 78–47 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:34 swung win probability 61% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 9 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47 |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 18 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:34 swung win probability 61% → 93%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q2 12-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 4:21 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.6% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 11–0 | Q2 9:34 | 61% → 93% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 9–0 | Q3 1:42 | 99% → 100% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 13–0 | Q4 4:21 | 100% → 100% |