Air Force Falcons 76, San José State Spartans 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated San José State Spartans 76–57 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:48 swung win probability 78% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 28 | 9 | 23 | 16 | 76 |
| San José State Spartans | 17 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:48 swung win probability 78% → 20%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost Q3 8-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 6:23 (win probability 58% → 19% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 11–0 | Q1 6:23 | 58% → 19% |
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | Q1 3:00 | 13% → 40% |
| Air Force Falcons | 9–0 | Q2 9:20 | 44% → 12% |
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | Q3 9:08 | 33% → 78% |
| Air Force Falcons | 10–0 | Q3 3:48 | 78% → 20% |
| Air Force Falcons | 11–0 | Q3 0:17 | 30% → 0% |