UC Merced Bobcats 52, UC Riverside Highlanders 93
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: UC Riverside Highlanders
UC Riverside Highlanders defeated UC Merced Bobcats 93–52 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 41-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:46 swung win probability 47% → 75%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Merced Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Merced Bobcats | 15 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 52 |
| UC Riverside Highlanders | 23 | 29 | 26 | 15 | 93 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:46 swung win probability 47% → 75%.
Why UC Merced Bobcats lost
- Lost Q2 13-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 26-0 run ending at Q3 7:29 (win probability 89% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-12.
- Outscored 18-8 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Riverside Highlanders | 8–0 | Q1 6:46 | 47% → 75% |
| UC Riverside Highlanders | 9–0 | Q2 8:15 | 76% → 96% |
| UC Riverside Highlanders | 26–0 | Q3 7:29 | 89% → 100% |
| UC Riverside Highlanders | 11–0 | Q4 1:53 | 100% → 100% |