UNLV Lady Rebels 64, Air Force Falcons 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Air Force Falcons 64–58 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:40 swung win probability 69% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 17 | 18 | 11 | 18 | 64 |
| Air Force Falcons | 16 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:40 swung win probability 69% → 10%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q2 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 4:40 (win probability 69% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 34.5% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 9–0 | Q1 5:42 | 75% → 43% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 15–0 | Q2 4:40 | 69% → 10% |