Air Force Falcons 51, San Diego State Aztecs 62
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 62–51 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:14 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 11 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 51 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 14 | 14 | 21 | 13 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:14 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q3 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 7:14 (win probability 72% → 94% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | Q2 7:14 | 72% → 94% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q3 7:27 | 77% → 97% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | Q3 3:14 | 86% → 100% |