Nevada Wolf Pack 45, Air Force Falcons 61
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 61–45 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:12 swung win probability 61% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nevada Wolf Pack lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 11 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45 |
| Air Force Falcons | 13 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:12 swung win probability 61% → 93%.
Why Nevada Wolf Pack lost
- Lost Q2 6-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 7:12 (win probability 61% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 29.0% eFG vs a 41.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 11–0 | Q2 7:12 | 61% → 93% |
| Air Force Falcons | 8–0 | Q3 4:21 | 97% → 100% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 8–0 | Q4 1:42 | 100% → 100% |