Air Force Falcons 53, Utah State Aggies 65
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies defeated Air Force Falcons 65–53 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:53 swung win probability 56% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 13 | 8 | 19 | 13 | 53 |
| Utah State Aggies | 18 | 15 | 10 | 22 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:53 swung win probability 56% → 99%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q4 13-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 7:53 (win probability 56% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 31.4% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 10–0 | Q4 7:53 | 56% → 99% |