Arizona State Sun Devils 51, Texas Tech Lady Raiders 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-01 · Winner: Texas Tech Lady Raiders
Texas Tech Lady Raiders defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 58–51 on 2026-03-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:00 swung win probability 51% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 10 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 51 |
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 14 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:00 swung win probability 51% → 98%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost Q3 9-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 0:00 (win probability 51% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 46.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 9–0 | Q2 9:33 | 49% → 82% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 8–0 | Q2 2:57 | 72% → 36% |
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 12–0 | Q3 0:00 | 51% → 98% |