Baylor Bears 53, TCU Horned Frogs 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-01 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Baylor Bears 65–53 on 2026-03-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:35 swung win probability 69% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Baylor Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 7 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 53 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 15 | 11 | 20 | 19 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:35 swung win probability 69% → 94%.
Why Baylor Bears lost
- Lost Q1 7-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 8:35 (win probability 69% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 38.8% eFG vs a 48.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | Q2 8:35 | 69% → 94% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | Q3 6:02 | 94% → 100% |