Kansas State Wildcats 72, Iowa State Cyclones 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State Cyclones defeated Kansas State Wildcats 76–72 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:16 swung win probability 51% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kansas State Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | 20 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 72 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:16 swung win probability 51% → 86%.
Why Kansas State Wildcats lost
- Lost Q2 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 4:16 (win probability 51% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 44.2% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 9–0 | Q2 4:16 | 51% → 86% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | Q4 8:23 | 85% → 100% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 6:08 | 100% → 90% |