Baylor Bears 76, Cincinnati Bearcats 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated Cincinnati Bearcats 76–70 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:45 swung win probability 30% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cincinnati Bearcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 11 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 76 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 15 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:45 swung win probability 30% → 87%.
Why Cincinnati Bearcats lost
- Lost Q2 18-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 9:41 (win probability 80% → 28% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 8–0 | Q1 2:24 | 55% → 81% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 11–0 | Q3 3:45 | 30% → 87% |
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | Q4 9:41 | 80% → 28% |