Arizona State Sun Devils 43, West Virginia Mountaineers 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia Mountaineers defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 53–43 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:37 swung win probability 36% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 11 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 43 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 13 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:37 swung win probability 36% → 100%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost Q4 6-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 9:04 (win probability 11% → 56% for the home side).
- Shot 39.1% eFG vs a 46.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-17.
- Outscored 11-0 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 13–0 | Q3 8:18 | 92% → 42% |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 8–0 | Q4 9:04 | 11% → 56% |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 8–0 | Q4 1:37 | 36% → 100% |