UCF Knights 48, Baylor Bears 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated UCF Knights 73–48 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:29 swung win probability 69% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UCF Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 48 |
| Baylor Bears | 16 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:29 swung win probability 69% → 92%.
Why UCF Knights lost
- Lost Q4 12-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 6:29 (win probability 69% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 44.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | Q2 6:29 | 69% → 92% |
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | Q2 0:50 | 80% → 97% |
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | Q4 6:26 | 100% → 100% |