Colorado Buffaloes 68, UCF Knights 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-18 · Winner: UCF Knights
UCF Knights defeated Colorado Buffaloes 74–68 on 2026-01-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:53 swung win probability 40% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colorado Buffaloes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Buffaloes | 19 | 10 | 21 | 18 | 68 |
| UCF Knights | 14 | 25 | 12 | 23 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:53 swung win probability 40% → 72%.
Why Colorado Buffaloes lost
- Lost Q2 10-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 1:48 (win probability 64% → 97% for the home side).
- Outscored 21-13 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 8–0 | Q2 6:53 | 40% → 72% |
| UCF Knights | 12–0 | Q2 1:48 | 64% → 97% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 8–0 | Q3 7:35 | 94% → 69% |