Arizona Wildcats 62, TCU Horned Frogs 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Arizona Wildcats 78–62 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:07 swung win probability 26% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 15 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 62 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 17 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:07 swung win probability 26% → 77%.
Why Arizona Wildcats lost
- Lost Q3 18-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 6:50 (win probability 85% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 11–0 | Q3 9:07 | 26% → 77% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 13–0 | Q4 6:50 | 85% → 100% |