TCU Horned Frogs 51, West Virginia Mountaineers 50
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated West Virginia Mountaineers 51–50 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:12 swung win probability 7% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why West Virginia Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 12 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 51 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 8 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 50 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:12 swung win probability 7% → 69%.
Why West Virginia Mountaineers lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 7:46 (win probability 52% → 15% for the home side).
- Shot 29.2% eFG vs a 51.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | Q2 7:46 | 52% → 15% |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 16–0 | Q3 5:12 | 7% → 69% |