Iowa State Cyclones 62, Colorado Buffaloes 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes defeated Iowa State Cyclones 68–62 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:46 swung win probability 42% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa State Cyclones lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 16 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 62 |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 13 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:46 swung win probability 42% → 92%.
Why Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Lost Q4 20-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 8:33 (win probability 20% → 59% for the home side).
- Shot 48.2% eFG vs a 54.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | Q1 6:55 | 75% → 47% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 9–0 | Q2 4:14 | 47% → 12% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 9–0 | Q3 8:33 | 20% → 59% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 8–0 | Q4 7:46 | 42% → 92% |