Cincinnati Bearcats 63, UCF Knights 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati Bearcats defeated UCF Knights 63–59 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 0:06 swung win probability 85% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UCF Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 16 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 63 |
| UCF Knights | 8 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT 0:06 swung win probability 85% → 0%.
Why UCF Knights lost
- Lost Q1 8-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at OT 0:06 (win probability 85% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 34.3% eFG vs a 44.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 8–0 | Q3 1:54 | 34% → 73% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 8–0 | Q3 0:21 | 73% → 30% |
| UCF Knights | 11–0 | Q4 4:39 | 30% → 90% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 9–0 | OT 0:06 | 85% → 0% |