Arizona State Sun Devils 46, TCU Horned Frogs 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 77–46 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:38 swung win probability 72% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 13 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 46 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 14 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:38 swung win probability 72% → 97%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost Q2 7-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 8:07 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 31.4% eFG vs a 46.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 11–0 | Q2 3:38 | 72% → 97% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 12–0 | Q4 8:07 | 100% → 100% |