UCF Knights 45, Arizona State Sun Devils 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State Sun Devils defeated UCF Knights 68–45 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:24 swung win probability 92% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UCF Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 45 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 15 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:24 swung win probability 92% → 100%.
Why UCF Knights lost
- Lost Q4 12-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 2:24 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.6% eFG vs a 44.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 10–0 | Q3 2:24 | 92% → 100% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 9–0 | Q4 6:58 | 98% → 100% |