Baylor Bears 72, Iowa State Cyclones 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated Iowa State Cyclones 72–70 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:27 swung win probability 1% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa State Cyclones lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 17 | 24 | 15 | 16 | 72 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 21 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:27 swung win probability 1% → 51%.
Why Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Lost Q2 18-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 9:01 (win probability 77% → 28% for the home side).
- Shot 44.4% eFG vs a 54.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 17-7 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 10–0 | Q3 9:01 | 77% → 28% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | Q4 0:27 | 1% → 51% |