Baylor Bears 77, Oklahoma State Cowgirls 68
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated Oklahoma State Cowgirls 77–68 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 18-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:29 swung win probability 98% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Oklahoma State Cowgirls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 16 | 16 | 16 | 29 | 77 |
| Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 14 | 21 | 25 | 8 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:29 swung win probability 98% → 0%.
Why Oklahoma State Cowgirls lost
- Lost Q4 8-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q4 0:29 (win probability 98% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 44.5% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 20-11 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 9–0 | Q2 4:02 | 60% → 90% |
| Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 9–0 | Q3 6:05 | 73% → 97% |
| Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 8–0 | Q3 3:41 | 95% → 100% |
| Baylor Bears | 9–0 | Q4 9:37 | 100% → 98% |
| Baylor Bears | 18–0 | Q4 0:29 | 98% → 0% |