Cincinnati Bearcats 52, Kansas State Wildcats 79
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats defeated Cincinnati Bearcats 79–52 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 27-point result. A 20-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:24 swung win probability 36% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cincinnati Bearcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 16 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 52 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:24 swung win probability 36% → 99%.
Why Cincinnati Bearcats lost
- Lost Q3 6-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at Q3 6:24 (win probability 36% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 33.1% eFG vs a 44.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 30-18.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 9–0 | Q1 0:41 | 72% → 36% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 20–0 | Q3 6:24 | 36% → 99% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 11–0 | Q4 9:33 | 98% → 100% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 14–0 | Q4 2:33 | 100% → 100% |