Arizona Wildcats 56, Colorado Buffaloes 75
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes defeated Arizona Wildcats 75–56 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:54 swung win probability 75% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 5 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 56 |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 17 | 15 | 19 | 24 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:54 swung win probability 75% → 96%.
Why Arizona Wildcats lost
- Lost Q1 5-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 1:54 (win probability 75% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 42.6% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-13.
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Buffaloes | 10–0 | Q1 1:54 | 75% → 96% |