TCU Horned Frogs 72, BYU Cougars 48
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated BYU Cougars 72–48 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 24-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:30 swung win probability 39% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why BYU Cougars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 23 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 72 |
| BYU Cougars | 18 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:30 swung win probability 39% → 2%.
Why BYU Cougars lost
- Lost Q4 8-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 3:21 (win probability 1% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 34.2% eFG vs a 47.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | Q3 0:30 | 39% → 2% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | Q4 3:21 | 1% → 0% |