Chico State Wildcats 42, UC Davis Aggies 74
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Chico State Wildcats 74–42 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:05 swung win probability 47% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chico State Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chico State Wildcats | 18 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 42 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 16 | 21 | 23 | 14 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:05 swung win probability 47% → 93%.
Why Chico State Wildcats lost
- Lost Q3 6-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 1:41 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 26.8% eFG vs a 32.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 13–0 | Q2 4:05 | 47% → 93% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 17–0 | Q3 1:41 | 99% → 100% |