VCU Rams 66, Penn State Lady Lions 78
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Penn State Lady Lions
Penn State Lady Lions defeated VCU Rams 78–66 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:49 swung win probability 54% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VCU Rams lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 14 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 66 |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 23 | 18 | 23 | 14 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:49 swung win probability 54% → 84%.
Why VCU Rams lost
- Lost Q1 14-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 1:41 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-18.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Lady Lions | 9–0 | Q1 2:49 | 54% → 84% |
| VCU Rams | 11–0 | Q2 2:37 | 97% → 73% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 8–0 | Q3 5:14 | 69% → 95% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 11–0 | Q4 1:41 | 97% → 100% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q4 0:19 | 100% → 100% |