Carolina University Bruins 31, App State Mountaineers 82
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: App State Mountaineers
App State Mountaineers defeated Carolina University Bruins 82–31 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 51-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:47 swung win probability 75% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Carolina University Bruins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina University Bruins | 10 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 31 |
| App State Mountaineers | 21 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:47 swung win probability 75% → 96%.
Why Carolina University Bruins lost
- Lost Q2 6-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q2 1:49 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 22.4% eFG vs a 29.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 10–0 | Q1 2:47 | 75% → 96% |
| App State Mountaineers | 16–0 | Q2 1:49 | 96% → 100% |
| App State Mountaineers | 8–0 | Q3 7:54 | 100% → 100% |
| App State Mountaineers | 11–0 | Q3 3:32 | 100% → 100% |
| App State Mountaineers | 9–0 | Q4 5:17 | 100% → 100% |